Kamala Harris Pulls Ahead of Trump in Key Polls with a 49% Lead—Is a Major Electoral Shift Underway?

U.S. elections are less than two months away; hence, candidates and voters are gearing up for what promises to be a thrilling display of democracy with much at stake.

[{"selector":"#anim-93017704-0405-450d-bd29-ddb3e7928971","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-213f24b4-d6c3-4cc0-b92e-1917ad23d665","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(99.87893%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-029929e3-7688-482c-a028-4b85ac8f340a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-3a41958c-f623-433f-90d1-1c4c3b1316bc","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-115.18988%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-5c47e9bc-a279-49ac-9520-03cbd9511e52","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

[{"selector":"#anim-5c87d453-fd19-424c-b387-8f7aaf8407a2","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-0f3e7713-119f-49f9-b20b-c8e8eca2b48c","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-9aa1c8be-e130-499b-94c4-15f8aee6957a [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-14.523240830568229%, 0, 0) translate(-25%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate3d(0%, 0, 0) translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-a78b26dc-0496-450d-92fe-ad4e523b4b4c","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-75846da6-9a9b-4cae-91f2-8031902f7a60","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Experience the unique floating market, where all goods are sold from boats. Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

Renowned American statistician Nate Silver shared data on September 17, 2024, which showed Harris with a 48.9% chance of winning the popular vote, an almost 3% lead over Trump, who had a 46% probability, according to USA Today.

[{"selector":"#anim-e99e53af-68cb-4a86-b2f6-b571a9a7ec1d","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-23932953-687a-4f56-b156-c5b47026ddcc","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-115.18988%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-44cbe358-b607-49ea-81d3-2558ba820e36","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1009df52-44be-4896-92a5-d404eb3c6deb","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(99.87893%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-c90eeccd-8b8c-43b9-82d1-84c37f1423ff","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

[{"selector":"#anim-128ca2d3-2835-41f6-a47b-02634347c520 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-13.49382632873073%, 0, 0) translate(-25%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate3d(0%, 0, 0) translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1843f6e7-6105-4ced-be20-c6652edf2314","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-8f270c83-623a-40d3-a5d8-0f334cbfa6be","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-50616c0d-8e2e-4482-8bd8-7fb2889f2d3c","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-35d80c8d-8db6-4174-85bd-ab54b4e5cf6e","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] In a poll conducted by USA Today and Suffolk University that was released on September 16, Harris led Trump by 49% to 46% in Pennsylvania, a pivotal swing state in the election. Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

The polls also indicated Harris leading Trump nationally with a 47.6% to 43.3% margin, marking an 8-point turnaround for the Democrats since Biden dropped out after the first debate.

[{"selector":"#anim-625ed5a8-d841-475d-87e8-9fc5a4b26681","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-8c3ac7ce-9262-4448-93f0-a9ef683625e7","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-114.8265%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-04794935-0d6d-4557-ad3e-5c51fc332a93","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-00079378-e509-41eb-9d0b-15c0bca1ce14","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(99.87893%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-006fab31-e910-4484-b6d0-cb9faa7c469a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

[{"selector":"#anim-98958a45-8e47-4f22-bf7b-45e9e0433af4 [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-16.362136893010526%, 0, 0) translate(-25%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate3d(0%, 0, 0) translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-0482a090-892f-4c7b-8441-e9b995adc806","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-4040e8c8-507e-45d7-b694-91c4554e0d8e","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-57eb0b25-b0d2-4fd9-a7c2-2f1f3d0f96ac","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-bc146217-0bef-49b4-a24a-7268faa052a3","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] The poll mentioned that Harris has also managed to shore up support among young voters, with a reported 24-point swing in her favor in Colorado. Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

Betting markets are also shifting, with various betting companies predicting Harris to win the presidential election.

[{"selector":"#anim-1afc8edd-9647-4d19-a416-9afa4e40b2fe","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-a44e4a3e-93d9-4c11-9906-6bc2de35ff32","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-115.18988%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":300,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-c4602470-3180-4ea6-bd12-9a733f14dcfe","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-83452737-999e-42b0-85c5-dcda63a83e52","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(99.87893%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-904149c0-b085-40d6-a77d-821edf8e5d70","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

[{"selector":"#anim-0302375a-4ab2-4e9c-998b-1cef2e5caa7e [data-leaf-element=\"true\"]","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-53.18561125983714%, 0, 0) translate(-25%, 0%) scale(1.5)","translate3d(0%, 0, 0) translate(0%, 0%) scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e17b14d1-d066-41fb-a588-4ca8080144d8","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-1809b601-c5fa-49ca-93a7-8fdb5ed9c540","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1300,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] [{"selector":"#anim-ed887aef-412e-4be7-84c7-f39ebc915bd1","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-eceed44c-2243-4b55-85cb-d8ca5aad446d","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Betfair Exchange, a UK-based betting platform, and Polymarket, a crypto-trading and betting platform, have both predicted a Harris win, with the Vice President leading Trump by 5 and 2 points, respectively. Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

Nate Silver, the statistician, predicts a close race in which Kamala Harris continues to lead Donald Trump in key national polls.

[{"selector":"#anim-56d6fca8-178c-41f4-be6b-89eabd801740","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-16243831-f88d-41f7-8c86-ac15b3b6b4d6","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(115.18987%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-4a31b4eb-c8ec-4c97-9b24-956fccba3b0a","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-680dca9a-7555-4265-9a72-464924940923","keyframes":{"transform":["translate3d(-99.87893%, 0px, 0)","translate3d(0px, 0px, 0)"]},"delay":0,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.2, 0.6, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-685be9bb-b9ca-4353-bd1d-04b62922b190","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":800,"duration":600,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] Photo Source: Google Photo Source: Google

[{"selector":"#anim-d160a2a6-6689-408a-8d55-b4e9ef71174e","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(1)","scale(1.5)","scale(0.95)","scale(1)"],"offset":[0,0.33,0.66,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1450,"easing":"ease-in-out","fill":"both","iterations":1}] [{"selector":"#anim-16b085db-e571-4485-a68e-a726c60c2a4d","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":100,"duration":2000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(0.4, 0.4, 0.0, 1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-e6265173-260e-4149-ba20-69b816203a53","keyframes":{"opacity":[0,1]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"both"}] [{"selector":"#anim-9f6c117a-9190-4a2a-a920-6c8c658b675c","keyframes":{"transform":["scale(0.3333333333333333)","scale(1)"]},"delay":0,"duration":1000,"easing":"cubic-bezier(.3,0,.55,1)","fill":"forwards"}] Harris and Trump Locked in Tight Race as Wisconsin Becomes Key Battleground State with Only 1% Gap Learn more