Kamala Harris giving a speech.

Govind Tekale

Kamala Harris Poised to Break Records: Why Allan Lichtman is Confident of a Historic Win Despite October Surprise Buzz

2024 Election, Allan Lichtman, Historic Win, Kamala Harris, October Surprise

The US presidential election campaigns are in full swing. With just 26 days left until D-Day, both the Harris and Trump camps are vigorously reaching out to all possible voters to explain their stance on various issues affecting the US. There is an element of suspense and excitement among the campaigners of both Republicans and Democrats. There is curiosity about whether the “October Surprise” will upset one of the main candidates. In earlier elections, an impact was felt when President Carter could not get US citizens released from an Iranian prison. Similarly, Hillary Clinton’s email controversy perhaps affected her chances.

According to Allan Lichtman, who has accurately predicted 10 out of 11 US presidential elections, his prediction of Harris winning the presidential election stands firm. He believes that even if there is an “October Surprise,” it won’t affect Kamala Harris’s winning streak. He asserts that Trump will never return to the White House. Prof. Allan Lichtman, who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C., has a 13-point program for predicting US presidential polls. Even in 2016, his prediction did not go wrong, but there was some discrepancy in the vote counting that favored Trump against Clinton. Historian Allan Lichtman is known as the US polling “Nostradamus.” He is confident that his prediction will come true.


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According to him, Harris will become the first woman president of the USA. He disregards the much-hyped ‘October’ effect. In an interview, the seventy-seven-year-old Lichtman told CNN’s Michael Smerconish, “One of the greatest myths of American politics is the October surprise.” Light was also shed upon the possible impact of the phenomenon and its relevance to his earlier prediction. Earlier in September, Lichtman had confidently announced Kamala Harris as the winner of the 2024 US Presidential elections. He added that his predictions about US polls remain unaffected by the so-called October surprise. He asserted, “I have never changed my prediction in response to an October surprise.”

Black voters are already in a joyous mood to celebrate the victory of Kamala Harris in the November 5 polls. Whatever the outcome, US politics will change after this election. The world is waiting for the next occupant of the White House. The next US President will be the main attraction at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics.

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