Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell addresses reporters during the July 27, 2022 FOMC press conference at the Federal Reserve Board headquarters.

CruxBuzz Staff

Fed cuts 25 bps to 3.75%-4.00%, Powell: “December cut not a foregone conclusion”

Finance, InflationFederal Reserve, Interest Rates, Jerome Powell, Labor Market

FOMC October 2025: Statement Changes, Rate Cut, and Key Numbers

The US Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds target range by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00% on . The move and wording appear in the official FOMC statement. September’s prior decision had set the range at 4.00%–4.25% (see September statement).

In the press conference, Chair Jerome Powell said a December cut was “not a foregone conclusion,” noting “strongly differing” committee views (see opening statement transcript). The statement also said the reduction of aggregate securities holdings would conclude on December 1, 2025. For price context, the BLS CPI report showed a 3.0% 12‑month rise for September 2025.

Related reading on our site: earlier coverage of Powell’s signal on easing: Powell signals imminent rate cuts in 2025. You can also scan global currency shifts that intersect with rate paths: China–Saudi currency swap explainer.

“A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion, far from it.” — Chair Jerome Powell, Oct 29 press conference

September 2025 (4.00–4.25%)

  • First 25 bps cut of the cycle.
  • Inflation described as “somewhat elevated.”
  • Balance sheet runoff continuing at stated pace.

October 2025 (3.75–4.00%)

  • Second 25 bps cut; runoff set to end Dec 1, 2025.
  • Decision accompanied by split views within FOMC.
  • December outcome left data‑dependent.
Guide to statement markup
Text removed from the September statement appears in red with a strikethrough. Text appearing for the first time in the October statement appears in red and underlined. Black text appears in both statements.
The October release removes language tied to the September setting and adds guidance that the reduction of aggregate securities holdings will conclude on December 1, 2025. Rate guidance remains data‑dependent with no commitment to December.
Statement: Fed press release · Opening statement: transcript PDF · September CPI: BLS · September statement: Fed.
The section summarized the 25‑bp reduction to a 3.75%–4.00% range, listed the two recorded dissents, noted the guidance on ending balance sheet runoff on December 1, and referenced CPI for September 2025. Links above direct to the source materials.

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