Nostradamus predicts Kamala Harris win in the US presidential election. In an exclusive interview with NDTV, Lichtman, who has a track record of accurately foreseeing nine out of the preceding ten US presidential elections, said that Vice President Kamala Harris will beat Republican Presidential nominee Donald Trump.
Polls prophet Allen Lichtman, often called the “Nostradamus of US presidential elections”, has predicted that Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris will win the race to the White House this year.
To accurately predict who will occupy the Oval Office, Lichtman has designed what he calls “13 keys to the White House”, a groundbreaking method that revolutionized election forecasting.
The keys, comprising a series of true or false questions, evaluate various factors such as party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, foreign success, social unrest, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.
Lichtman explained that if six or more keys go against the White House party, they are predicted losers, else they are predicted winners.
While Kamala Harris has secured eight of Lichtman’s keys to the White House, Trump has three. He added, “They lost the mandate key, which is based on losses in US House Elections. They have obviously lost the incumbency key with Biden not running. But with the party uniting around Harris, they avoided the loss of the contest key. Finally, the third key that they lost was incumbent charisma.”
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He reiterated that Democrats will retain the White House.
According to him, two foreign policy keys—military success and failure—are uncertain due to the fluid situations in Ukraine and the Middle East.
He thinks those keys will split and Harris will be down four keys, still one key short of defeat. All other keys are locked in her favor.
The US historian feels two areas of uncertainty are foreign military success and failure. Nobody knows exactly what could happen in Ukraine or the Middle East.
But they won’t affect his prediction that Kamala Harris is going to be the next US President.
In short, historian Allan Lichtman has accurately predicted the winners of US presidential elections in nine out of the last ten races, using his 13 keys to the White House System. This year, Lichtman predicts a victory for Kamala Harris, despite the fluctuating poll numbers. He believes Harris’s nomination has given the Democrats an edge despite weaknesses in other key areas.
